How to Enable a Stable Delivery System in 2 Easy Steps (Even if You’re Just Getting Started!)
What is the main prerequisite to enabling sustainable predictability and making reliable delivery forecasts? Is it to slice your stories into even pieces? Or, you’ll probably need to have a ton of data to base your delivery prediction on. Not…
4 Myths of Probabilistic Forecasting
Probabilistic forecasting is an approach that helps teams produce dependable delivery predictions based on their past performance data. A lot of teams, however, still question whether they should use this method. Today, we’ll dispel four of the most widely spread myths…
How to Develop a Probabilistic Mindset to Enable Reliable Delivery Commitments
Developing a probabilistic mindset is the ultimate secret to managing risks effectively and making reliable delivery commitments. Making probabilistic forecasts helps us maintain high levels of customer and stakeholder trust, satisfaction and retention. It also allows us to define service…
The Management Paradox: When It’s Time to Stop Managing People
Managing people does not lead to improvements in your delivery performance. This is due to one simple reason – time spent at a desk doesn’t necessarily translate into productive time. Productivity should, first and foremost, be assessed in terms of…
How the J Curve Effect Defines the Success of Your Transformation Initiative
There is a concept called the J curve effect that explains why revolutionary changes usually fail. What’s more, this approach ultimately defines the success threshold of our transformation initiative. The need for change emerges when there is no longer satisfaction…
How the Wizards Scrum Team Immensely Improved Their Predictability in Just 2 Months (all by Applying a Simple Pull Strategy)
It’s astonishing to see in practice how a simple pull strategy can improve the predictability of your delivery system so significantly, even after just a couple of months. The Wizards are a development team, working for a start-up digital signage…
Why Your Delivery Predictions Will Always Be Wrong if You Keep Mapping Story Points to Hours
When it comes to making delivery commitments, mapping story points to hours to estimate your work is a terrible piece of advice. In fact, there is a very simple exercise that can be used to reveal this paradox. Bar Vaccin…
How to Meet Your Long-Term Goals Using Continuous Forecasting
Continuous forecasting is ultimately the best strategy that you can implement to stay on track and keep your commitments in the long run. When my husband and I moved to Belgium, about 8 years ago, I fell in love with…
5 Work Management Tips to Avoid Project Delays
Managing the flow of work effectively and staying on top of the obstacles that hinder your performance is the cornerstone to avoiding project delays. If you’ve committed to a project deadline and along the way you’ve realized you won’t be…
Release Planning: How to Decide How Much Work to Commit to In Your Next Release Without Counting Hours (or Story Points)
Release planning is essential to fulfilling the expectations of both your customers and your teams. However, often the approaches we use to create a release plan are inherently unreliable. One of the senior managers that I’m currently consulting came to…
Do You Perceive Your Workflow as a Knowledge Discovery Process?
Modeling your workflow as a knowledge discovery process stays true to the nature of knowledge work and is fundamental to enabling continuous improvement. If you consider your workflow steps as containers for workers, you’re highly likely to hinder your ability…
When is the Right Time to Say “Yes” to New Commitments?
Saying “Yes” to the right commitments (and “No” to the wrong ones) is all about making reliable decisions on what work to take on next. These are paramount to managing a steady flow of work and meeting your customers’ expectations….
Keep Your Teddy Bear! Introducing Probabilistic Forecasting to Your Team
When it comes to introducing probabilistic forecasting, it is paramount that you tackle any resistance head-on. Do you have kids? My son David is 4 years old, and my daughter Louise is now 6. She will start first grade in…